Sam Darnold

New York Jets · QB · USC

At a 40% bust line

FAIR

Value vs slot

82% of what pick #3 usually produces

this pick

0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+

The numbers

105Ledger points earned

128Expected for this slot

6Seasons as a starter

2Pro Bowls

0All-Pro selections

1Other MVP-vote seasons

106Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Sam Darnold

What fans are saying

Sam Darnold: 2018 NFL Draft, pick #3

Sam Darnold (QB, USC) was the 3rd overall pick in round 1 of the 2018 NFL Draft, selected by the New York Jets. Through 106 games he has earned 105 ledger points against about 128 expected for that slot, or 82% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a solid pick.

See the whole 2018 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Baker Mayfield, #2 Saquon Barkley, #4 Denzel Ward, #5 Bradley Chubb, #6 Quenton Nelson. How grades work.