Drafts / 2018
NFL Draft class

2018 NFL Draft: hits and busts

Every first-three-rounds pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, scored against what its slot usually produces at DraftLedger's default 40% bust line. 22 picks were hits and 20 were busts out of 100. Best pick for the slot: Fred Warner. Biggest miss: Josh Rosen.

Round
Player
Pick
Pos
Value vs slot
Status
Grade
Rd 1
Baker Mayfield
Browns · Oklahoma
#1
QB
84%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Saquon Barkley
Giants · Penn St.
#2
RB
97%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Sam Darnold
Jets · USC
#3
QB
78%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Denzel Ward
Browns · Ohio St.
#4
CB
110%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Bradley Chubb
Broncos · North Carolina St.
#5
DE
61%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Quenton Nelson
Colts · Notre Dame
#6
G
162%
HIT
B
Rd 1
Josh Allen
Bills · Wyoming
#7
QB
116%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Roquan Smith
Bears · Georgia
#8
ILB
148%
FAIR
B
Rd 1
Mike McGlinchey
49ers · Notre Dame
#9
T
87%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Josh Rosen
Cardinals · UCLA
#10
QB
14%
BUST
F
Rd 1
Minkah Fitzpatrick
Dolphins · Alabama
#11
S
146%
FAIR
B
Rd 1
Vita Vea
Buccaneers · Washington
#12
DT
89%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Daron Payne
Commanders · Alabama
#13
DT
108%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Marcus Davenport
Saints · Texas-San Antonio
#14
DE
37%
BUST
D
Rd 1
Kolton Miller
Raiders · UCLA
#15
T
101%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Tremaine Edmunds
Bills · Virginia Tech
#16
ILB
128%
FAIR
B
Rd 1
Derwin James
Chargers · Florida St.
#17
S
132%
FAIR
B
Rd 1
Jaire Alexander
Packers · Louisville
#18
CB
85%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Leighton Vander Esch
Cowboys · Boise St.
#19
OLB
77%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Frank Ragnow
Lions · Arkansas
#20
C
113%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Billy Price
Bengals · Ohio St.
#21
C
51%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Rashaan Evans
Titans · Alabama
#22
ILB
69%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Isaiah Wynn
Patriots · Georgia
#23
T
51%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
D.J. Moore
Panthers · Maryland
#24
WR
133%
FAIR
B
Rd 1
Hayden Hurst
Ravens · South Carolina
#25
TE
37%
BUST
D
Rd 1
Calvin Ridley
Falcons · Alabama
#26
WR
75%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Rashaad Penny
Seahawks · San Diego St.
#27
RB
13%
BUST
F
Rd 1
Terrell Edmunds
Steelers · Virginia Tech
#28
S
89%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Taven Bryan
Jaguars · Florida
#29
DT
82%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Mike Hughes
Vikings · Central Florida
#30
CB
55%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Sony Michel
Patriots · Georgia
#31
RB
43%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Lamar Jackson
Ravens · Louisville
#32
QB
191%
HIT
B
Rd 2
Austin Corbett
Browns · Nevada
#33
C
78%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Will Hernandez
Giants · Texas-El Paso
#34
G
91%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Nick Chubb
Browns · Georgia
#35
RB
131%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Shaquille Leonard
Colts · South Carolina St.
#36
LB
152%
HIT
B
Rd 2
Braden Smith
Colts · Auburn
#37
G
137%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Ronald Jones II
Buccaneers · USC
#38
RB
47%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
James Daniels
Bears · Iowa
#39
C
116%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Courtland Sutton
Broncos · SMU
#40
WR
149%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Harold Landry
Titans · Boston Col.
#41
OLB
139%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Mike Gesicki
Dolphins · Penn St.
#42
TE
80%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Kerryon Johnson
Lions · Auburn
#43
RB
28%
BUST
D
Rd 2
Dante Pettis
49ers · Washington
#44
WR
25%
BUST
D
Rd 2
Josh Jackson
Packers · Iowa
#45
CB
18%
BUST
F
Rd 2
Breeland Speaks
Chiefs · Mississippi
#46
DE
6%
BUST
F
Rd 2
Christian Kirk
Cardinals · Texas A&M
#47
WR
146%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Uchenna Nwosu
Chargers · USC
#48
OLB
90%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Dallas Goedert
Eagles · South Dakota St.
#49
TE
170%
HIT
B
Rd 2
Connor Williams
Cowboys · Texas
#50
T
133%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Anthony Miller
Bears · Memphis
#51
WR
54%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Kemoko Turay
Colts · Rutgers
#52
OLB
17%
BUST
F
Rd 2
M.J. Stewart
Buccaneers · North Carolina
#53
CB
42%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Jessie Bates III
Bengals · Wake Forest
#54
S
201%
HIT
A
Rd 2
Donte Jackson
Panthers · LSU
#55
CB
182%
HIT
B
Rd 2
Duke Dawson
Patriots · Florida
#56
CB
11%
BUST
F
Rd 2
P.J. Hall
Raiders · Sam Houston St.
#57
DT
50%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Isaiah Oliver
Falcons · Colorado
#58
CB
80%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Derrius Guice
Commanders · LSU
#59
RB
2%
BUST
F
Rd 2
James Washington
Steelers · Oklahoma St.
#60
WR
59%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
DJ Chark
Jaguars · LSU
#61
WR
109%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Brian O'Neill
Vikings · Pittsburgh
#62
T
208%
HIT
A
Rd 2
Carlton Davis
Buccaneers · Auburn
#63
CB
163%
HIT
B
Rd 2
Tyquan Lewis
Colts · Ohio St.
#64
DE
37%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Brandon Parker
Raiders · North Carolina A&T
#65
T
59%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Lorenzo Carter
Giants · Georgia
#66
DE
110%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Chad Thomas
Browns · Miami (FL)
#67
DE
9%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Justin Reid
Texans · Stanford
#68
S
196%
HIT
B
Rd 3
B.J. Hill
Giants · North Carolina St.
#69
DT
166%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Fred Warner
49ers · BYU
#70
OLB
318%
HIT
A
Rd 3
Royce Freeman
Broncos · Oregon
#71
RB
37%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Nathan Shepherd
Jets · Fort Hays St.
#72
DT
98%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Jerome Baker
Dolphins · Ohio St.
#73
OLB
175%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Geron Christian
Commanders · Louisville
#74
T
51%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Derrick Nnadi
Chiefs · Florida St.
#75
DT
188%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Mason Rudolph
Steelers · Oklahoma St.
#76
QB
40%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Sam Hubbard
Bengals · Ohio St.
#77
DE
184%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Malik Jefferson
Bengals · Texas
#78
OLB
21%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Rasheem Green
Seahawks · USC
#79
DT
92%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Martinas Rankin
Texans · Mississippi St.
#80
T
13%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Michael Gallup
Cowboys · Colorado St.
#81
WR
163%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Tracy Walker
Lions · Louisiana
#82
S
92%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Orlando Brown Jr.
Ravens · Oklahoma
#83
T
319%
HIT
A
Rd 3
Justin Jones
Chargers · North Carolina St.
#84
DT
169%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Rashaan Gaulden
Panthers · Tennessee
#85
CB
16%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Mark Andrews
Ravens · Oklahoma
#86
TE
239%
HIT
A
Rd 3
Arden Key
Raiders · LSU
#87
DE
164%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Oren Burks
Packers · Vanderbilt
#88
ILB
100%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Joseph Noteboom
Rams · TCU
#89
T
48%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Deadrin Senat
Falcons · South Florida
#90
DT
22%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Tre'Quan Smith
Saints · Central Florida
#91
WR
111%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Chukwuma Okorafor
Steelers · Western Michigan
#92
T
130%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Ronnie Harrison
Jaguars · Alabama
#93
S
128%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Alex Cappa
Buccaneers · Humboldt St.
#94
T
214%
HIT
A
Rd 3
Tarvarius Moore
49ers · Southern Miss
#95
S
67%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Harrison Phillips
Bills · Stanford
#96
DT
170%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Mason Cole
Cardinals · Michigan
#97
C
156%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Jordan Akins
Texans · Central Florida
#98
TE
92%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Isaac Yiadom
Broncos · Boston Col.
#99
CB
127%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Dorian O'Daniel
Chiefs · Clemson
#100
OLB
37%
BUST
D

2017 class · 2019 class · Change the bust line to re-grade every class.