Drafts / 2004 / Philip Rivers
2004 draft · round 1 · pick #4

Philip Rivers

New York Giants · QB · North Carolina St.

A
At a 40% bust line
HIT
Value vs slot
205% of what pick #4 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
260Ledger points earned
127Expected for this slot
15Seasons as a starter
8Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
247Games played

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Philip Rivers: 2004 NFL Draft, pick #4

Philip Rivers (QB, North Carolina St.) was the 4th overall pick in round 1 of the 2004 NFL Draft, selected by the New York Giants. Through 247 games he has earned 260 ledger points against about 127 expected for that slot, or 205% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a hit.

See the whole 2004 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Eli Manning, #2 Robert Gallery, #3 Larry Fitzgerald, #5 Sean Taylor, #6 Kellen Winslow, #7 Roy Williams. How grades work.