Drafts / 2004 / Larry Fitzgerald
2004 draft · round 1 · pick #3

Larry Fitzgerald

Arizona Cardinals · WR · Pittsburgh

A
At a 40% bust line
HIT
Value vs slot
272% of what pick #3 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
344Ledger points earned
127Expected for this slot
17Seasons as a starter
11Pro Bowls
1All-Pro selections
263Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Larry Fitzgerald
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Larry Fitzgerald: 2004 NFL Draft, pick #3

Larry Fitzgerald (WR, Pittsburgh) was the 3rd overall pick in round 1 of the 2004 NFL Draft, selected by the Arizona Cardinals. Through 263 games he has earned 344 ledger points against about 127 expected for that slot, or 272% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a hit.

See the whole 2004 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Eli Manning, #2 Robert Gallery, #4 Philip Rivers, #5 Sean Taylor, #6 Kellen Winslow. How grades work.