Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · USC

At a 40% bust line

FAIR

Value vs slot

52% of what pick #1 usually produces

this pick

0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+

This class is still developing, so the slot expectation is scaled down to the seasons played so far.

The numbers

30Ledger points earned

56Expected so far (scaled)

2Seasons as a starter

0Pro Bowls

0All-Pro selections

38Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Caleb Williams

What fans are saying

Caleb Williams: 2024 NFL Draft, pick #1

Caleb Williams (QB, USC) was the 1st overall pick in round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft, selected by the Chicago Bears. Through 38 games he has earned 30 ledger points against about 56 expected for that slot, or 52% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a solid pick.