Drafts / 2021 / Trevor Lawrence
2021 draft · round 1 · pick #1

Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars · QB · Clemson

C
At a 40% bust line
FAIR
Value vs slot
69% of what pick #1 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
89Ledger points earned
129Expected for this slot
5Seasons as a starter
1Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
2Other MVP-vote seasons
83Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Trevor Lawrence
What fans are saying

Trevor Lawrence: 2021 NFL Draft, pick #1

Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson) was the 1st overall pick in round 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft, selected by the Jacksonville Jaguars. Through 83 games he has earned 89 ledger points against about 129 expected for that slot, or 69% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a solid pick.

See the whole 2021 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #2 Zach Wilson, #3 Trey Lance, #4 Kyle Pitts. How grades work.