Drafts / 2017 / Patrick Mahomes
2017 draft · round 1 · pick #10

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · Texas Tech

A
At a 40% bust line
HIT
Value vs slot
217% of what pick #10 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
251Ledger points earned
116Expected for this slot
8Seasons as a starter
6Pro Bowls
2All-Pro selections
2MVP awards
3Other MVP-vote seasons
132Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Patrick Mahomes
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Patrick Mahomes: 2017 NFL Draft, pick #10

Patrick Mahomes (QB, Texas Tech) was the 10th overall pick in round 1 of the 2017 NFL Draft, selected by the Kansas City Chiefs. Through 132 games he has earned 251 ledger points against about 116 expected for that slot, or 217% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a hit.

See the whole 2017 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #7 Mike Williams, #8 Christian McCaffrey, #9 John Ross, #11 Marshon Lattimore, #12 Deshaun Watson, #13 Haason Reddick. How grades work.