Drafts / 2001 / Justin Smith
2001 draft · round 1 · pick #4

Justin Smith

Cincinnati Bengals · DE · Missouri

B
At a 40% bust line
HIT
Value vs slot
188% of what pick #4 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
237Ledger points earned
127Expected for this slot
14Seasons as a starter
5Pro Bowls
1All-Pro selections
221Games played

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Justin Smith: 2001 NFL Draft, pick #4

Justin Smith (DE, Missouri) was the 4th overall pick in round 1 of the 2001 NFL Draft, selected by the Cincinnati Bengals. Through 221 games he has earned 237 ledger points against about 127 expected for that slot, or 188% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a hit.

See the whole 2001 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Michael Vick, #2 Leonard Davis, #3 Gerard Warren, #5 LaDainian Tomlinson, #6 Richard Seymour, #7 Andre Carter. How grades work.