Drafts / 2023
NFL Draft class

2023 NFL Draft: hits and busts

Every first-three-rounds pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, scored against what its slot usually produces at DraftLedger's default 40% bust line. 4 picks were hits and 25 were busts out of 102. Best pick for the slot: Byron Young. Biggest miss: Anthony Richardson.

Round
Player
Pick
Pos
Value vs slot
Status
Grade
Rd 1
Bryce Young
Panthers · Alabama
#1
QB
42%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
C.J. Stroud
Texans · Ohio St.
#2
QB
64%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Will Anderson
Texans · Alabama
#3
LB
91%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Anthony Richardson
Colts · Florida
#4
QB
19%
BUST
F
Rd 1
Devon Witherspoon
Seahawks · Illinois
#5
DB
83%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Paris Johnson
Cardinals · Ohio St.
#6
OL
59%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Tyree Wilson
Raiders · Texas Tech
#7
OLB
20%
BUST
F
Rd 1
Bijan Robinson
Falcons · Texas
#8
RB
100%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Jalen Carter
Eagles · Georgia
#9
DL
66%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Darnell Wright
Bears · Tennessee
#10
OL
66%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Peter Skoronski
Titans · Northwestern
#11
OL
66%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Jahmyr Gibbs
Lions · Alabama
#12
RB
63%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Lukas Van Ness
Packers · Iowa
#13
DL
19%
BUST
F
Rd 1
Broderick Jones
Steelers · Georgia
#14
OL
70%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Will McDonald
Jets · Iowa St.
#15
DE
58%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Emmanuel Forbes
Commanders · Mississippi St.
#16
CB
38%
BUST
D
Rd 1
Christian Gonzalez
Patriots · Oregon
#17
DB
64%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Jack Campbell
Lions · Iowa
#18
LB
111%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Calijah Kancey
Buccaneers · Pittsburgh
#19
DL
34%
BUST
D
Rd 1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Seahawks · Ohio St.
#20
WR
104%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Quentin Johnston
Chargers · TCU
#21
WR
79%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Zay Flowers
Ravens · Boston Col.
#22
WR
108%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Jordan Addison
Vikings · USC
#23
WR
86%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Deonte Banks
Giants · Maryland
#24
DB
65%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Dalton Kincaid
Bills · Utah
#25
TE
76%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Mazi Smith
Cowboys · Michigan
#26
DL
42%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Anton Harrison
Jaguars · Oklahoma
#27
OL
86%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Myles Murphy
Bengals · Clemson
#28
DE
47%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Bryan Bresee
Saints · Clemson
#29
DT
65%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Nolan Smith
Eagles · Georgia
#30
OLB
47%
FAIR
C
Rd 1
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
Chiefs · Kansas St.
#31
DE
20%
BUST
D
Rd 2
Joey Porter Jr.
Steelers · Penn St.
#32
CB
87%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Will Levis
Titans · Kentucky
#33
QB
52%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Sam LaPorta
Lions · Iowa
#34
TE
98%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Michael Mayer
Raiders · Notre Dame
#35
TE
64%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Steve Avila
Rams · TCU
#36
C
69%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Derick Hall
Seahawks · Auburn
#37
DE
52%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Matthew Bergeron
Falcons · Syracuse
#38
OL
101%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Jonathan Mingo
Panthers · Mississippi
#39
WR
51%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Isaiah Foskey
Saints · Notre Dame
#40
DL
22%
BUST
D
Rd 2
BJ Ojulari
Cardinals · LSU
#41
DE
16%
BUST
F
Rd 2
Luke Musgrave
Packers · Oregon St.
#42
TE
73%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Joe Tippmann
Jets · Wisconsin
#43
OL
113%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Julius Brents
Colts · Kansas St.
#44
DB
15%
BUST
F
Rd 2
Brian Branch
Lions · Alabama
#45
DB
120%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Keion White
Patriots · Georgia Tech
#46
DL
60%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Quan Martin
Commanders · Illinois
#47
DB
88%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Cody Mauch
Buccaneers · North Dakota St.
#48
T
81%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Keeanu Benton
Steelers · Wisconsin
#49
NT
120%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Jayden Reed
Packers · Michigan St.
#50
WR
56%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Cam Smith
Dolphins · South Carolina
#51
DB
14%
BUST
F
Rd 2
Zach Charbonnet
Seahawks · UCLA
#52
RB
35%
BUST
D
Rd 2
Gervon Dexter
Bears · Florida
#53
DL
97%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Tuli Tuipulotu
Chargers · USC
#54
DL
143%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
Rashee Rice
Chiefs · SMU
#55
WR
23%
BUST
D
Rd 2
Tyrique Stevenson
Bears · Miami (FL)
#56
CB
123%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
John Michael Schmitz
Giants · Minnesota
#57
OL
119%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Luke Schoonmaker
Cowboys · Michigan
#58
TE
42%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
O'Cyrus Torrence
Bills · Florida
#59
OL
127%
FAIR
B
Rd 2
DJ Turner
Bengals · Michigan
#60
DB
123%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Brenton Strange
Jaguars · Penn St.
#61
TE
92%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Juice Scruggs
Texans · Penn St.
#62
OL
60%
FAIR
C
Rd 2
Marvin Mims
Broncos · Oklahoma
#63
WR
107%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Zacch Pickens
Bears · South Carolina
#64
DL
21%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Tyler Steen
Eagles · Alabama
#65
OL
67%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Sydney Brown
Eagles · Illinois
#66
DB
36%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Drew Sanders
Broncos · Arkansas
#67
LB
15%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Hendon Hooker
Lions · Tennessee
#68
QB
2%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Tank Dell
Texans · Houston
#69
WR
51%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Byron Young
Raiders · Alabama
#70
DL
24%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Kendre Miller
Saints · TCU
#71
RB
22%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Garrett Williams
Cardinals · Syracuse
#72
DB
98%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Jalin Hyatt
Giants · Tennessee
#73
WR
35%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Cedric Tillman
Browns · Tennessee
#74
WR
69%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Zach Harrison
Falcons · Ohio St.
#75
DE
40%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Marte Mapu
Patriots · Sacramento St.
#76
DB
40%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Byron Young
Rams · Tennessee
#77
LB
186%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Tucker Kraft
Packers · South Dakota St.
#78
TE
83%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Josh Downs
Colts · North Carolina
#79
WR
128%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
DJ Johnson
Panthers · Oregon
#80
OLB
30%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Tyjae Spears
Titans · Tulane
#81
RB
47%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
YaYa Diaby
Buccaneers · Louisville
#82
DL
136%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Riley Moss
Broncos · Iowa
#83
DB
131%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
De'Von Achane
Dolphins · Texas A&M
#84
RB
152%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Daiyan Henley
Chargers · Washington St.
#85
LB
135%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Trenton Simpson
Ravens · Clemson
#86
LB
97%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Ji'Ayir Brown
49ers · Penn St.
#87
S
137%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Tank Bigsby
Jaguars · Auburn
#88
RB
54%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Kobie Turner
Rams · Wake Forest
#89
DT
138%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
DeMarvion Overshown
Cowboys · Texas
#90
LB
62%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Dorian Williams
Bills · Tulane
#91
LB
138%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Wanya Morris
Chiefs · Oklahoma
#92
OL
85%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Darnell Washington
Steelers · Georgia
#93
TE
140%
FAIR
B
Rd 3
Michael Wilson
Cardinals · Stanford
#94
WR
176%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Jordan Battle
Bengals · Alabama
#95
DB
99%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Brodric Martin
Lions · Western Kentucky
#96
DT
6%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Ricky Stromberg
Commanders · Arkansas
#97
OL
4%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Siaki Ika
Browns · Baylor
#98
DL
4%
BUST
F
Rd 3
Jake Moody
49ers · Michigan
#99
K
87%
FAIR
C
Rd 3
Tre Tucker
Raiders · Cincinnati
#100
WR
151%
HIT
B
Rd 3
Cameron Latu
49ers · Alabama
#101
TE
25%
BUST
D
Rd 3
Mekhi Blackmon
Vikings · USC
#102
CB
88%
FAIR
C

2022 class · 2024 class · Change the bust line to re-grade every class.