Drafts / 2021 / Trey Lance
2021 draft · round 1 · pick #3

Trey Lance

San Francisco 49ers · QB · North Dakota St.

F
At a 40% bust line
BUST
Value vs slot
3% of what pick #3 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
4Ledger points earned
116Expected for this slot
0Seasons as a starter
0Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
16Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Trey Lance
What fans are saying

Trey Lance: 2021 NFL Draft, pick #3

Trey Lance (QB, North Dakota St.) was the 3rd overall pick in round 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft, selected by the San Francisco 49ers. Through 16 games he has earned 4 ledger points against about 116 expected for that slot, or 3% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a bust.

See the whole 2021 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Trevor Lawrence, #2 Zach Wilson, #4 Kyle Pitts, #5 Ja'Marr Chase, #6 Jaylen Waddle. How grades work.