Drafts / 2020 / Justin Herbert
2020 draft · round 1 · pick #6

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · Oregon

C
At a 40% bust line
FAIR
Value vs slot
79% of what pick #6 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
97Ledger points earned
122Expected for this slot
6Seasons as a starter
2Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
101Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on Justin Herbert
What fans are saying

Justin Herbert: 2020 NFL Draft, pick #6

Justin Herbert (QB, Oregon) was the 6th overall pick in round 1 of the 2020 NFL Draft, selected by the Los Angeles Chargers. Through 101 games he has earned 97 ledger points against about 122 expected for that slot, or 79% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a solid pick.

See the whole 2020 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #3 Jeff Okudah, #4 Andrew Thomas, #5 Tua Tagovailoa, #7 Derrick Brown, #8 Isaiah Simmons, #9 C.J. Henderson. How grades work.