Drafts / 2011 / A.J. Green
2011 draft · round 1 · pick #4

A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals · WR · Georgia

B
At a 40% bust line
FAIR
Value vs slot
143% of what pick #4 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
182Ledger points earned
127Expected for this slot
10Seasons as a starter
7Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
158Games played

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A.J. Green: 2011 NFL Draft, pick #4

A.J. Green (WR, Georgia) was the 4th overall pick in round 1 of the 2011 NFL Draft, selected by the Cincinnati Bengals. Through 158 games he has earned 182 ledger points against about 127 expected for that slot, or 143% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a solid pick.

See the whole 2011 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #1 Cam Newton, #2 Von Miller, #3 Marcell Dareus, #5 Patrick Peterson, #6 Julio Jones, #7 Aldon Smith. How grades work.