Drafts / 2011 / J.J. Watt
2011 draft · round 1 · pick #11

J.J. Watt

Houston Texans · DE · Wisconsin

B
At a 40% bust line
HIT
Value vs slot
199% of what pick #11 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
228Ledger points earned
115Expected for this slot
10Seasons as a starter
5Pro Bowls
5All-Pro selections
151Games played

How ledger points work

Takes on J.J. Watt
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J.J. Watt: 2011 NFL Draft, pick #11

J.J. Watt (DE, Wisconsin) was the 11th overall pick in round 1 of the 2011 NFL Draft, selected by the Houston Texans. Through 151 games he has earned 228 ledger points against about 115 expected for that slot, or 199% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a hit.

See the whole 2011 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #8 Jake Locker, #9 Tyron Smith, #10 Blaine Gabbert, #12 Christian Ponder, #13 Nick Fairley, #14 Robert Quinn. How grades work.