Drafts / 2007 / JaMarcus Russell
2007 draft · round 1 · pick #1

JaMarcus Russell

Las Vegas Raiders · QB · LSU

D
At a 40% bust line
BUST
Value vs slot
21% of what pick #1 usually produces
0%bust below 40%hit at 150%+300%+
The numbers
28Ledger points earned
135Expected for this slot
2Seasons as a starter
0Pro Bowls
0All-Pro selections
31Games played

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JaMarcus Russell: 2007 NFL Draft, pick #1

JaMarcus Russell (QB, LSU) was the 1st overall pick in round 1 of the 2007 NFL Draft, selected by the Las Vegas Raiders. Through 31 games he has earned 28 ledger points against about 135 expected for that slot, or 21% of par. At DraftLedger's default 40% bust line that makes him a bust.

See the whole 2007 NFL Draft class, or nearby picks: #2 Calvin Johnson, #3 Joe Thomas, #4 Gaines Adams. How grades work.